This assessment identified [N] risk scenarios across the assessed environment. Of these, [N] are rated High or Critical requiring prioritised treatment. The primary risk drivers are inadequate network segmentation, uncontrolled vendor remote access, and the absence of OT-specific incident response capability.
The overall residual risk posture is assessed as HIGH against the agreed target of MEDIUM within 12 months. A structured treatment plan is included in Section 04.
The following is an extract from the full risk register. Each scenario is documented with likelihood rating, consequence analysis, and treatment options.
| Risk ID | Scenario | Likelihood | Consequence | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RA-001 | Ransomware via IT/OT lateral movement — encrypts historian and engineering workstations, halting production visibility | High | Production shutdown — estimated [X] hrs | Critical |
| RA-004 | Vendor remote access compromise — attacker gains authenticated session to SCADA via shared VPN credential | High | Process manipulation possible | High |
| RA-007 | PLC firmware modification by insider — authorised user alters setpoints outside safety limits | Medium | Safety system activation risk | High |
| RA-011 | Supply chain compromise via software update — malicious code introduced through legitimate vendor update channel | Low | Persistent access, difficult to detect | Medium |
| RA-015 | Data exfiltration from historian — competitive intelligence extracted via unsecured historian web interface | Medium | IP loss, regulatory notification | Medium |
| Phase | Timeframe | Actions | Risk IDs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Immediate | 0–30 days | Remove shared VPN credential. Implement individual vendor accounts with session recording. | RA-004 |
| Phase 1 | 30–90 days | Implement IT/OT boundary firewall. Deploy historian network isolation. Develop OT incident response plan. | RA-001, RA-015 |
| Phase 2 | 90–180 days | Deploy passive OT monitoring. Implement insider threat controls on PLC access. Software update verification process. | RA-007, RA-011 |